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CFB : ATS Matchup
Saturday 11/10/2018Line$ LineOU LineScore
BAYLOR
 
IOWA ST
+17  

-17  
+780

-1400

51
 
14
Final
28

BAYLOR (5 - 4) at IOWA ST (5 - 3)
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Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 3:30 PM
Board OpenLatest
133BAYLOR5151
134IOWA ST-14.5-17
ADVANCED TEAM STATS
BAYLOR - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-4+1.64-55-331.214.0446.0(5.9)1.434.019.1438.4(6.5)0.8
Road Games1-3-12-23-125.29.7400.5(5.1)1.741.726.2454.7(7.1)0.5
Last 3 Games1-2-0.12-11-222.08.0339.0(5)2.037.324.7493.3(6.4)0.7
Grass Games0-100-11-033.09.0493.0(4.9)1.066.028.0607.0(11.2)0.0
Conference Games3-3+1.93-33-327.011.3419.0(5.4)1.536.519.3471.0(7)0.8
BAYLOR - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)31.214.025.332:3037-162(4.4)23-3861.2%284(7.5)75-446(5.9)(14.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.116.721.631:4238-175(4.6)19-3261.1%250(7.9)70-425(6.1)(14.1)
Offense Road Games25.29.723.732:6035-84(2.4)26-4360.1%316(7.3)78-400(5.1)(15.9)
Defense (All Games)34.019.121.127:2935-190(5.5)19-3260.1%248(7.7)67-438(6.5)(12.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.30.816.820.929:1636-173(4.8)20-3361.3%244(7.4)69-417(6.1)(13.5)
Defense Road Games41.726.221.226:5833-154(4.7)20-3163.5%301(9.6)64-455(7.1)(10.9)

IOWA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-3+4.86-23-526.915.1372.1(5.7)1.121.212.4324.4(4.7)1.5
Home Games3-1+2.83-12-230.715.2433.0(6.1)1.223.716.2319.5(5.1)1.5
Last 3 Games3-0+3.83-01-232.318.0438.0(6.2)0.716.011.3282.3(4.1)1.7
Grass Games3-2+1.84-12-327.413.6386.0(5.7)1.222.414.4315.4(4.9)1.8
Conference Games4-2+4.86-03-331.016.8404.0(6.1)1.024.014.3346.7(4.9)1.8
IOWA ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)26.915.119.630:0936-129(3.6)19-2965.7%243(8.4)65-372(5.7)(13.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.912.820.630:0938-144(3.8)20-3360.3%236(7.2)71-380(5.4)(14.7)
Offense Home Games30.715.222.532:4040-159(3.9)20-3067.2%274(9)71-433(6.1)(14.1)
Defense (All Games)21.212.418.429:4536-105(2.9)19-3358.0%219(6.7)68-324(4.7)(15.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.34.21822.330:5237-165(4.5)21-3461.5%275(8.1)71-440(6.2)(12.9)
Defense Home Games23.716.218.027:2030-86(2.8)19-3259.7%233(7.2)62-319(5.1)(13.5)
Average power rating of opponents played: BAYLOR 36.1,  IOWA ST 43
SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
BAYLOR - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/15/2018DUKE27-40L-2L51O32-13024-42-270244-22512-30-1740
9/22/2018KANSAS26-7W-7.5W54.5U39-19020-29-257028-12216-27-1490
9/29/2018@ OKLAHOMA33-66L21L69.5O38-7740-63-416131-17517-23-4320
10/6/2018KANSAS ST37-34W-3.5L54.5O48-26130-45-296235-31915-26-1493
10/13/2018@ TEXAS17-23L14W59U34-8820-40-240141-17024-39-2191
10/25/2018@ W VIRGINIA14-58L14.5L67O36-8217-29-205433-17221-31-3960
11/3/2018OKLAHOMA ST35-31W6W68.5U39-24414-26-158147-21225-42-3111
11/10/2018@ IOWA ST            
11/17/2018TCU            
11/24/2018TEXAS TECH            

IOWA ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/15/2018OKLAHOMA27-37L18.5W55.5O29-8725-36-360139-17121-29-3481
9/22/2018AKRON26-13W-19.5L47.5U35-13226-34-233231-9112-28-1531
9/29/2018@ TCU14-17L11.5W45U28-11914-28-79146-11721-29-1823
10/6/2018@ OKLAHOMA ST48-42W10W55.5O38-14019-25-325243-12619-33-2892
10/13/2018W VIRGINIA30-14W5.5W54.5U47-24418-25-254127-5211-15-1001
10/27/2018TEXAS TECH40-31W-5.5W58O51-17213-27-250124-3033-57-3333
11/3/2018@ KANSAS27-3W-18W47U38-12117-24-273040-14719-43-1851
11/10/2018BAYLOR            
11/17/2018@ TEXAS            
11/24/2018KANSAS ST            
KEY GAME INFORMATION
BAYLOR: There were plenty of reasons to look away from the Baylor Bears and their 1-11 campaign in 2017. Believe it or not (and like it or not), Matt Rhule's team might be relevant again already. It's a little hard to tell, given the utter chaos of last season's lineup, but some key pieces appeared to fall into place. Quarterback Charlie Brewer was downright good in the starting job as a freshman. Wideout Denzel Mims topped 1,000 yards receiving and will be joined at receiver by ex-Tennessee running back Jalen Hurd. Rhule undoubtedly has plenty of work ahead of him still, but Vegas setting the Bears' preseason win total at 6 accurately reflects a generally bullish attitude in the college football world toward this team.
IOWA ST: An eight-win season'including upsets over Oklahoma and TCU, plus a series of close losses'made 2017 a banner year for the Cyclones. They shouldn't drop off too far this season, but expectations for a similar run in conference play would be overly optimistic. Plenty of tough games will come on the road, and superior OU and TCU teams will be out for blood. 1,000-yard rusher David Montgomery returns to pace the offense, and Matt Campbell is one of the foremost rising stars in college football's coaching ranks.
PREVIEW
Purdy leads No. 22 Iowa State vs. Baylor
 

It's difficult to overstate what the insertion of freshman Brock Purdy into the starting lineup has meant for No. 22 Iowa State.

In the four games that Purdy has started, the Cyclones are averaging 36.3 points and nearly 450 yards of total offense. His 12 touchdown passes are already the school's freshman record. The Cyclones have won all four of Purdy's starts -- two over ranked opponents (Oklahoma State, West Virginia).

"The thing that I've always really respected about Brock from the day we recruited him, is that he's always trying to do something. He wasn't trying to be somebody else. He wasn't trying to be the next this or the next that. He's just Brock," coach Matt Campbell was quoted as saying in the Des Moines Register.

"He just goes about his business. He's very matter-of-fact in how he goes about it and really doesn't fall for all the other fluff stuff."

After starting the season 1-3, Iowa State (5-3, 4-2 Big 12) finds itself on the brink of bowl-eligibility with four games left as it prepares for Saturday's home game against Baylor (5-4, 3-3), which is also a win away from bowl eligibility.

Baylor going bowling would signify a fantastic turnaround from a 1-11 season in 2017. The Bears got closer last week, rallying behind quarterback Charlie Brewer, who entered the game late in the third quarter with his team trailing by 10 points.

He threw two touchdown passes, including a 6-yard game-winner to Denzel Mims with seven seconds remaining.

Baylor coach Matt Rhule did not sound interested in postseason possibilities on Monday.

"Iowa State is a tough place to play. I have never been there, but I have heard from the players and from talking to other people. I just think we need to be completely focused on Iowa State this weekend," Rhule said.

"This defense we are going to face is either one or two in every defensive category."

Iowa State is first in the Big 12 in scoring defense (21.3 points per game), total defense (324.4 yards per game) and rushing defense (104.9 yards per game).

It was the defense that got the job done last week against Kansas, holding the Jayhawks to three points and keeping them out of the end zone despite having a pair of chances from the Iowa State 1-yard line. This came two weeks after shutting down then-No. 6 West Virginia in a 30-14 win on Oct. 13.

Iowa State also held Texas Tech to fewer than 20 offensive points (the Red Raiders needed special teams and defensive TDs to put up 31).

"There's been some defenses (we've faced) that are complicated like it, but they have this 3-3, 3-2 dime defense," Rhule said.

"They're pressuring, they move around and you can't really see what they're in. ... These guys just do a great job of disguising. They're able to do it because of the way their players play. They get off blocks and they're able to survive inside in the run game by playing with less guys than most people would. It's because their d-line is so talented."

Iowa State's top target on offense is 6-foot-6 wide receiver Hakeem Butler, who has 33 catches for 791 yards and eight touchdowns, leading the nation with 24.0 yards per catch. Two games ago, Baylor yielded 139 yards and two touchdowns on five catches to West Virginia's 6-4 David Sills V.

Baylor isn't strong enough in run defense to devote too much attention to Butler, so they'll have to slow him down with some one-on-one coverage.

Iowa State can run the ball, too, with tough-to-bring-down David Montgomery. He has 712 yards through the eight games, one of which he missed with an injury. He is in great shape to become the first Iowa State running back with back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons since Ennis Haywood in 2000-2001.

Baylor's top weapon has been wide receiver Jalen Hurd, who caught seven passes for 96 yards and a TD against Oklahoma State and also had a team-high nine rushes.


Last Updated: 11/16/2018 11:28:21 PM EST


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