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WNBA : First Half Matchup
Sunday 5/28/2023Line$ LineOU LineScore
INDIANA
 First Half Results
ATLANTA
+3.5  

-3.5  


79
 
41
Final
47

INDIANA (0 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 1)
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Sunday, 5/28/2023 3:00 PM
Board First Half
609INDIANA79
610ATLANTA-3.5
STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring INDIANA to cover the first half line
There are 12 situations with a total rating of 28 stars.
- Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 3 or more points/game, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more.
(25-6 since 1997.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 2*)
- Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 3 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more.
(36-11 since 1997.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*)
- Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 3 or more points/game, after scoring 80 points or more.
(24-5 since 1997.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*)
- Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game.
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 2*)
- Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more.
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)
- Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - after a division game against opponent after 2 consecutive non-conference games.
(49-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (71%, +27 units. Rating = 2*)
- Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive division games against opponent after a non-conference game.
(44-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +26.4 units. Rating = 3*)
- Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive division games against opponent after 2 consecutive non-conference games.
(168-107 since 1997.) (61.1%, +50.3 units. Rating = 2*)
- Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive division games against opponent after 2 consecutive non-conference games.
(115-65 since 1997.) (63.9%, +43.5 units. Rating = 2*)
- Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - poor shooting team from last season - made <=41% of their shot attempts.
(95-55 since 1997.) (63.3%, +34.5 units. Rating = 2*)
- Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - bad team from last season - shooting <=41% with a defense of >=43%.
(63-29 since 1997.) (68.5%, +31.1 units. Rating = 2*)
- Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - bad team from last season - shooting <=41% with a defense of >=43%, vs. division opponents.
(42-18 since 1997.) (70%, +22.2 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go OVER the first half total
There are 4 situations with a total rating of 8 stars.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (INDIANA) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss.
(45-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +24.1 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (INDIANA) - off a road loss.
(110-64 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.2%, +39.6 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (INDIANA) - after allowing 75 points or more against opponent after a win by 6 points or less.
(51-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.9%, +25.7 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (INDIANA) - after allowing 75 points or more against opponent after a win by 6 points or less.
(47-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.1%, +23.9 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go UNDER the first half total
There are 1 situations with a total rating of 2 stars.
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (INDIANA) - poor shooting team from last season - made <=41% of their shot attempts.
(79-41 since 1997.) (65.8%, +33.9 units. Rating = 2*)

STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 ProjectionShooting   3pt Shots Free ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeHalfEdgeFGM-APct.FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
INDIANA74 37 26-6540.7%7-1933.7%14-2072.4%40816
ATLANTA85 42 31-6944.3%7-2133.1%16-2178.8%481215

The number of simulations in which each team covered the first half spread and the number of simulations which went over or under the first half total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the first half line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 581 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 419 times.
Edge against first half line=ATLANTA
In 1000 simulated games, 500 games went over first half total, while 473 games went under first half total.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox First Half Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring ATLANTA to cover the first half line
INDIANA is 3-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.4 Units) when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 36.5, OPPONENT 46.2
INDIANA is 11-23 against the 1rst half line (-14.3 Units) when they allow 78 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.8
INDIANA is 10-21 against the 1rst half line (-13.1 Units) when they allow 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.8, OPPONENT 46.5
INDIANA is 6-15 against the 1rst half line (-10.5 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.6, OPPONENT 45.7
INDIANA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) when they grab 37 to 41 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.9, OPPONENT 47.2
INDIANA is 4-19 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.3, OPPONENT 47.3
ATLANTA is 159-125 against the 1rst half line (+21.5 Units) when they score 78 or more points in a game since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 43.2, OPPONENT 41.7
ATLANTA is 20-7 against the 1rst half line (+12.3 Units) when they score 83 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 44.6, OPPONENT 42.9

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the first half total
INDIANA is 18-9 OVER (+8.1 Units) the 1rst half total in up-tempo games where they attempt 64 or more shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.0, OPPONENT 44.2
INDIANA is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) the 1rst half total when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 39.7, OPPONENT 44.6
INDIANA is 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) the 1rst half total when they allow 78 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.8
INDIANA is 23-6 OVER (+16.4 Units) the 1rst half total when they allow 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.8, OPPONENT 46.5
INDIANA is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.2, OPPONENT 45.5
INDIANA is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total where both teams score 71 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 39.9, OPPONENT 45.2
INDIANA is 15-6 OVER (+8.4 Units) the 1rst half total in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.3, OPPONENT 47.3
ATLANTA is 18-9 OVER (+8.1 Units) the 1rst half total where both teams score 71 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 41.9, OPPONENT 44.1
ATLANTA is 24-12 OVER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total when they score 78 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 43.3, OPPONENT 42.4
ATLANTA is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) the 1rst half total when they score 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 43.7, OPPONENT 43.0
ATLANTA is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 42.0, OPPONENT 42.7

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the UNDER against the first half total
INDIANA is 123-90 UNDER (+24.0 Units) the 1rst half total when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 36.1, OPPONENT 34.7
INDIANA is 68-46 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 34.7, OPPONENT 37.3
INDIANA is 59-36 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 33.7, OPPONENT 36.8
ATLANTA is 113-81 UNDER (+23.9 Units) the 1rst half total when they grab more than 47 rebounds in a game since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 39.7, OPPONENT 38.1

STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
INDIANA  
ATLANTA-5.5
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
There are no StatFox matchup power trends with past records of significance for this game.
STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring INDIANA to cover the first half line
There are 12 trends with a total rating of 10 stars.
INDIANA is 30-16 against the 1rst half line (+12.4 Units) after a game - shooting 37% or lower, allowing 48% or higher since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 37.9, OPPONENT 36.4 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 21-6 against the 1rst half line (+14.4 Units) in road games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 39.4, OPPONENT 39.1 - (Rating = 2*)
ATLANTA is 91-122 against the 1rst half line (-43.2 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 40.5, OPPONENT 38.6 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 60-95 against the 1rst half line (-44.5 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 40.4, OPPONENT 38.5 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 20-41 against the 1rst half line (-25.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 40.7, OPPONENT 37.7 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 11-33 against the 1rst half line (-25.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 5 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 39.7, OPPONENT 38.6 - (Rating = 3*)
ATLANTA is 56-80 against the 1rst half line (-32.0 Units) on Sunday games since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 38.5, OPPONENT 40.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 37.9, OPPONENT 42.4 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 49-71 against the 1rst half line (-29.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 39.4, OPPONENT 40.0 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 5-15 against the 1rst half line (-11.5 Units) after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 40.0, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 28-49 against the 1rst half line (-25.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 38.3, OPPONENT 41.3 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 46-71 against the 1rst half line (-32.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 38.0, OPPONENT 40.7 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring ATLANTA to cover the first half line
There are 8 trends with a total rating of 7 stars.
INDIANA is 13-25 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.8, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 12-22 against the 1rst half line (-12.2 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.7, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 2-9 against the 1rst half line (-7.9 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 35.9, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 9-19 against the 1rst half line (-11.9 Units) off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.7, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 9-22 against the 1rst half line (-15.2 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.7, OPPONENT 45.0 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 9-23 against the 1rst half line (-16.3 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.6, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 2*)
ATLANTA is 8-1 against the 1rst half line (+6.9 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.2, OPPONENT 39.8 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.0, OPPONENT 40.2 - (Rating = 2*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the first half total
There are 18 trends with a total rating of 17 stars.
INDIANA is 24-12 OVER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.8, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 22-11 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.0, OPPONENT 44.8 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 22-11 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.3, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.8, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 2*)
INDIANA is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where where the first half total >= 60.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where where the first half total >= 70.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 21-11 OVER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 37.7, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.0, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 2*)
INDIANA is 22-11 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 70 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.4, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 22-11 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 60-34 OVER (+22.6 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or more since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 38.8, OPPONENT 42.4 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 21-10 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.5, OPPONENT 45.0 - (Rating = 1*)
INDIANA is 25-13 OVER (+10.7 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.2, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 0*)
INDIANA is 19-10 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 38.1, OPPONENT 45.1 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 43.1, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 4*)
ATLANTA is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 42.6, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the first half total
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 3 stars.
ATLANTA is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total in home games in May games since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 37.6, OPPONENT 37.7 - (Rating = 3*)

COACHING TRENDS
StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring INDIANA to cover the first half line
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
Wright is 5-15 against the 1rst half line (-11.5 Units) after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more as the coach of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 40.0, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the first half total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
Wright is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points as the coach of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 43.1, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 4*)
Wright is 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 42.6, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 0*)

STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Here is a summary of past results against the first half line in games where the line movement was similar to:
Opening First Half Line = -4, Closing First Half Line = -3.5
Since 1997, the road underdog covered the first half line 137 times, while the home favorite covered the first half line 135 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog covered the first half line 7 times, while the home favorite covered the first half line 6 times.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the first half total movement was similar to:
Opening First Half Total = 80.5, Closing First Half Total = 79
Since 1997, 10 games went under the first half total, while 7 games went over the first half total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 3 games went over the first half total, while 3 games went under the first half total.

Here is a summary of past ATS and Over/Under results in games where the first half line and first half total were similar to:
Closing First Half Line = -3.5, Closing First Half Total = 79
Since 1997, the home favorite covered the first half line 12 times, while the road underdog covered the first half line 10 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog covered the first half line 5 times, while the home favorite covered the first half line 1 times.
Edge against the first half line=INDIANA
Since 1997, 13 games went over the first half total, while 9 games went under the first half total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 5 games went over the first half total, while 1 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
INDIANA
[G] 07/27/2022 - Bria Hartley is out for season ( ACL )
ATLANTA
No significant injuries.

Last Updated: 5/5/2024 11:08:37 AM EST.


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